Monthly Archives: June 2019

Consultants will need a significant change of skills by 2030

Together with Dr Mike Fenn, I was pleased to lead this important research project for the CMCE. The text below summarises the findings and recommendations.
A copy of the full report can be accessed free of charge through the following link: https://www.cmce.org.uk/projects

In 2018 the Centre for Management Consulting Excellence (CMCE), a pro-bono organisation established by the Worshipful Company of Management Consultants that

brings together management consultants, academics and other stakeholders in the management consulting community, conducted research into the skills that management consultants will need to sell and deliver assignments in 2030.

We sourced data from 157 respondents through face to face interviews and an online survey. The respondents comprised not only consultants and their clients, but a broad range of stakeholders. The consultants came from both large and small firms, and many have management experience in industry.

Respondents were asked to rank and comment on a number of technology and societal drivers of change, in terms of the scale of their likely impact on the skills needed by consultants. The survey then asked whether the traditional skills of a consultant (change management and the like) would still be relevant by 2030. We also gave space in the survey for respondents to provide unprompted insights.

Cyber Security (as a risk management skill) came out top in the impact rankings, with cyber risks being seen by respondents as a potential massive roadblock to a digital future beset by “unknown unknowns”. How to assess the risks, and how much of an organisation’s limited resources should be expended, in a context where assailants are out to destroy your business or steal your IP? While there will continue to be a technical battle between the good and bad guys, management consultants will be expected to drive board level discussions on steering their clients’ businesses through the cyber minefield.

In second place came AI (Artificial or Augmented Intelligence). There was a huge polarisation of views; some respondents see AI as huge disruptor, others see consultants taking it in their stride. Several respondents argue that the full impact will be felt by 2040 not 2030. New consulting skills will be in demand in framing questions, assessing how AI insights can be translated into human capabilities to deliver results, and advising on ethical implications and accountability.

In third place came the trend among consultants towards self-employment. Respondents agreed that concepts such as portfolio careers and work/life balances are here to stay, while also recognising that much of the new technology (AI engines, for example) will demand a level of investment that only big consultancies can afford. Will there be anti-trust legislation by 2030 if big firms act as AI monopolists? Respondents also commented about the pressures for independent consultants to both deliver and sell, with a new breed of agencies already offering to sell.

While coming out lower in the impact rankings, the other prompted themes – Big Data,

Globalisation, Internet of Things and Robotics all generated incisive comments.

Timeless consulting skills such as senior relationship building and change management will remain very important in 2030, as humans look to humans to contextualise and interpret the recommendations that technology will generate. This comes with two provisos – consultants must invest in understanding the new technologies if they are going to be able to interpret them, and they must beware the dangers of interpreting purely through the lens of past experience. The T-shaped consultants of 2030 (combining both deep specialist and broad generalist ability) must

also need resilience in order to thrive at an increased pace of change.

The most frequently mentioned “new skills” that consultants will need, according to our

respondents, are

New Technology | Cyber Security | Innovation | Self-promotion | Cultural adaptation | Empathy

There will be a change, and perhaps some reduction, in the opportunities for junior consultants to enter the market, with AI and Robotics taking over some of today’s entry-level consulting activity. Yet there will be new junior roles in scrubbing and keeping secure, at an industrial scale, the data that will feed the new technologies. We will also see an increased percentage of data scientists on many consulting assignments.

We asked our respondents: “All things considered, what change will there be in Consulting Skills needed in 2030 versus today?”

The overwhelming answer from our respondents is that the impact will be incremental, not radical. It suggests that adaptable consultants can march forward to 2030 in their stride. But the survey data rings an alarm bell for consultants when the results of consultants and non-consultants are compared. Non-consultants see the impact of cyber security, AI and self-employment on consultant’s skills as being much more radical by 2030 than do the consultants themselves.

There are some powerful implications here, which might lead to two alternative conclusions.

Consultants see the world through a filter of “we have seen changes before, we will overcome” and are better prepared than their clients give them credit for.

Or

Consultants are under-estimating challenges that are much more evident to the clients that they seek to serve, calling in to question whether they will have the knowledge and aptitude to be of use to clients in 2030.

Both are valid hypotheses, and of course for the management consulting profession the first one comes across more comfortably than the second.

Yet it could be disastrous to ignore the second conclusion.

Consultants must direct their inquisitiveness and knowledge building to get to grips with what is happening with new technologies and demographic trends, and to understand better the implications that these will have both for their clients and their clients’ customers. These are not all things that are fully known today, but that fact cannot be an excuse for any complacency. Clients need consultants to be thinking ahead of them, not lagging behind.

The CMCE wishes to thank all the people who gave their time to participate in the research, and the MBA students from Coventry University in London and Cass Business School for their invaluable support in collecting and analysing the data. The CMCE also appreciates the sponsorship provided by Sheffield Haworth for the publication of the report into our research.

Finance Transformation – are we nearly there yet?


Consulting support to CFOs, helping them to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of their Finance function, is proving to be a hardy perennial in the market. Surely all the consultancy that was purchased going all the way back since the 1980s should mean that the problems have now been well and truly fixed? The number of Finance Transformation engagements in the market today show that this is clearly not the case. Why is that so?

During my career I have engaged with Finance functions in many roles. Beginning as an audit student, I learnt the skills of understanding what the audit tests were telling me – when I could draw robust conclusions and when I had to recognise that the results looked odd and I needed to investigate further. Then as a junior manager in the Finance function of a fast-growing international bank, I performed the monthly cycle of Finance operations, budgeting and reporting, and learned how to strike the right balance between supporting and challenging business executives.

Ten years followed in Big 4 Finance Transformation consulting, at a time when ERP implementations were in full flow, and I worked with large complex clients to design and implement new processes and reporting suites, global shared service centres and business partner roles. I then moved joined a technology company in a general management role, where I designed and delivered outsourced Finance services to external clients. As a global managing director with activities in multiple geographies, I had my own Finance business partner who helped me to understand our financial performance and survive in a world of tough growth targets.

Nowadays back in management consulting, I interact frequently with Finance functions when working on business process transformation assignments in complex organisations. Periodically I take myself right back to the basics of debits and credits, volunteering with small charities / NGOs in developing countries, working jointly with the local team to design and implement new processes and systems such as Quickbooks. Finally, I am CFO of two not-for-profit organisations in the UK.

Back then to the fact that Finance Transformation assignments seem to be a hardy perennial. Why has the transformation challenge not yet been put to bed? What insights can I bring from the multiple different capacities in which I have worked with Finance teams for more than thirty years?   

Accounting fundamentals

The core building blocks of debits and credits are still there and show no sign of disappearing. You cannot argue that Finance has had to respond to a fundamental shift in its foundations, in the same way that a move to service-oriented architecture has transformed IT design and development.

Accounting policies and the rules for presenting items in financial reports have continued to evolve, giving rise to short term assignments to help meet the new requirements – the current “all hands on deck” requirement in the UK is in the insurance sector, where IFRS17 is significantly changing the way in which future insurance liabilities must be shown in an insurance company’s accounts.

Such projects cut across the multiple dimensions of people, processes, data flows and systems, but are more technical than they are transformational. The short term pain in responding to such new policies and regulations is in the need to reconfigure data flows, and potentially also in the need to build new sub-ledgers to hold increasingly detailed levels of data.

Tools of the trade

While the building blocks have remained the same, there has been a continued evolution in the tools used by Finance functions to access data rapidly and to reduce paper and re-keying. Good examples are the real time interface of bank transactions from a bank’s systems into accounting ledgers, and the ever-increasing availability of self-service tools for running reports and creating transactions such as expense claims.

Robotic Process Automation is being adopted, particularly by outsourced Finance functions which are under significant cost pressure, to automate rules-driven processing tasks and to eliminate data re-keying across key interfaces.

Many organisations will have moved to new accounting systems, and will have addressed the question of whether or not to use cloud services for some or all of these systems, weighing up issues of cost and convenience, data security and inflexibility. For large complex organisations, the biggest factor in the move to new accounting systems will be all the work that has to take place on the interfaces from feeder systems. 

Perhaps one of the biggest recent changes has been in the use of data visualisation tools, which aim to make reports capture the attention of readers against a background of data overload and boredom with the more prosaic reports that are provided by ledgers and spreadsheets.

These data visualisation tools have a lot of powerful functionality, but of course are only as good as the availability and quality of the underlying data. These tools are often purchased direct by the business (for example, by the Sales function to report on forecasts). While these tools have their advantages, a challenge for the Finance function is to ensure a single version of the truth is accepted across the organisation.

The growing acceptance in the wider world of alternative versions of the truth, with the selective readiness to label truth as fake news, means that the Finance function needs to stay alert and retain control of what is and is not acceptable data for performance management across the organisation. While this does not merit the label of “transformation”, it is certainly an area where things have the potential to go badly wrong.  

Evolving to meet the needs of the enterprise

The label “Finance Transformation” has typically related to the vision, organisation and skills of Finance, and has then extended to processes, controls, data flows and systems. Today many organisations have implemented concepts such as shared service centres and remote business partners, along the lines of the Ulrich model which was devised back in 1995 for HR functions.

But a transformational new Finance structure will be never last for ever. Enterprises evolve both organically and through acquisitions and divestments. Where this evolution happens across multiple geographies and lines of business, the challenge for Finance can be transformational.

The evolution of the enterprise requires a constant re-tuning of the Finance model, for example in the coverage of the shared service centre, the alignment of business partners and the maintenance of specific technical expertise. It requires the roll-out of processes and systems into new parts of the enterprise, with all of the training and change management which comes with it.

A more unpredictable world

While the themes described above are all important, perhaps the biggest challenge for the CFO is how to steer the enterprise through a world that is far less predictable than it was considered to be twenty years ago. This unpredictability extends across politics, climate, consumer trends, the ability to protect data and intellectual capital, and many other key areas.

For a Finance function, accustomed to make predictions which will influence business decision making, the inherent unpredictability of the external world is naturally unsettling. Yet it would be unfortunate if the Finance function were to step back to being simply the bean counters of what has already taken place. The bean counting is necessary, but it is surely not sufficient.

How should Finance help the enterprise to respond to an unpredictable world? Scenario modelling and the clear articulation of assumptions are important, as are the ability to provide the earliest possible warning signals when assumptions and reality are diverging. There is no overall magic answer, but the worst thing is to pretend the problems caused by unpredictability are not there or will go away of their own accord.

Maintaining respect for proper financial judgement and control is critical too. In recent years we have witnessed the huge problems caused by overly aggressive profit taking and financial engineering. The outsourcing industry, in the UK and elsewhere, has been almost brought to its knees by a vicious spiral of high growth targets that led to decisions to contract for work at ultra-low margins, leading on to the fastest possible recognition of profits to meet the shareholder expectations that have been created, leading to zero room for movement when the contract faces delivery challenges, leading to write-offs and massive reductions in shareholder value.

Where the contract is in a critical area such as the provision of public services, the damage can extend way beyond the pain caused to shareholders.

This problem does not sit in the world of debits and credits. Nor is it really attributable to weaknesses in core Finance processes and data flows. Rather it is about Finance in its leadership and business partnering role, building trust and respect and a deep understanding of the business, and being robustly involved in decision making. In the context of the example above, “robust” should not mean agreeing that the delivery team can be given highly unrealistic future cost reduction targets which somehow make an early profit take acceptable. “Robust” rather means prudent financial analysis, control and the effective use of escalation paths where necessary.

But for many organisations this requires an ongoing investment in the skills and positioning of business partners and senior financial controllers, all of which costs money when resources are scarce. So the CFO will look at the ongoing optimisation of the end-to-end Finance function, taking advantage of the automation tools that are available, creating lean processes and eliminating waste.

This is driven not only for reasons of affordability, but also because Finance needs to be confident that it is doing the simple things right, in order to have both the bandwidth and the credibility to address the bigger challenges on its plate, rather than arguing on the back foot over whether a figure in a spreadsheet is correct.

In summary, Finance Transformation might well have been put to bed as a consulting service if business and the wider world had stood still. But the pace of change, the increasing level of unpredictability and the heightened pressures on business management all mean that Finance must keep on transforming itself to maintain relevance and to grasp the very significant challenges which both the enterprise and our wider society are so reliant on Finance to address.